Condo Market Report - June/July 2019


Year over Year Sales Comparison for MaySales for May on TREB reached 9,989 units (we predicted 10,000 earlier in May). That is 19% higher than May of 2018. But before anyone thinks we are back to a ‘boom’ market, realize that the average over the last ten years for sales in May was 10,300 units. Of more importance is to track the month over month growth in sales. For 2019, April to May was 11% and in 2018 it was 8%. Looking to June, we are expecting sales to level off. In 2018 they actually declined in June. Our 2019 Forecast made in January called for annual sales of 87,000 units. Everyone said we were too optimistic as they were forecasting the same as 2018 – about 78-80,000 units. Currently we are tracking for 89,000 units. In terms of the overall condo market, sales increased 7% over May of 2018. Area 905 increased by 24% and 416 was unchanged from 2018. Looking at the Humber Bay condo market, sales were higher by 5% and in downtown, condo sales were 3% lower than May of 2018. Last year, downtown condos were the strongest market and experienced the biggest sales and price gains on TREB. This year more condo buyers have been forced into 905 because of price. In May, new listings declined faster in both the Humber Bay and downtown condo markets from a year ago than the change in sales. This is a lead indicator that prices will continue to increase but at a slower rate. The sale-to-new listings ratio remained at 60% - a sellers’ market. While we continue to have some multiple offer scenarios, the sale-to-list price ratio remains at 100%.
Toronto MLS Sales
This chart plots monthly MLS® sales for the current year and previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month. Source: Toronto Real Estate Board